{"id":19730,"date":"2010-03-25T13:35:44","date_gmt":"2010-03-25T18:35:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bibula.com\/?p=19730"},"modified":"2010-05-31T10:13:41","modified_gmt":"2010-05-31T15:13:41","slug":"prognoza-demograficzna-onz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/?p=19730","title":{"rendered":"Prognoza demograficzna ONZ"},"content":{"rendered":"

Biuro demograficzne ONZ opublikowa\u0142o prognozy dla wszystkich kraj\u00f3w \u015bwiata do roku 2050. Dane oparte s\u0105 o statystyki z roku 2008<\/strong> (opublikowane w 2009 r.)<\/em>[link<\/a><\/span>]. Oto dane o ludno\u015bci wybranych kraj\u00f3w, w milionach ludzi, za okres od 1950 do dzisiaj i prognoza do 2050<\/strong> r.<\/p>\r\n


<\/p>\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n
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Rok<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Rosja<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Polska<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Niemcy<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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Francja<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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Hiszpania<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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Szwecja<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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U.K<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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USA<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Turcja<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1950<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

102,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

24,8<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

68,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

41,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

28,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

7,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

50,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

157,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

21,5<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1955<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

111,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

27,3<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

70,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

43,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

29,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

7,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

51,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

171,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

24,6<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1960<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

119,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

29,6<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

72,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

45,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

30,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

7,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

52,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

186,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

28,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1965<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

126,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

31,4<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

76,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

48,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

32,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

7,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

54,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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199,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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32,0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1970<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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130,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

32,7<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

78,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

50,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

33,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

80<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

55,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

209,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

36,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1975<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

134,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

34,0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

78,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

52,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

35,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

8,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

56,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

219,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

41,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1980<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

138,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

35,6<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

78,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

54,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

37,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

8,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

56,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

229,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

46,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

1985<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

143,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

37,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

77,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

55,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

38,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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8,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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56,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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240,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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51,3<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

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1990<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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148,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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38,1<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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79,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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56,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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38,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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8,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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57,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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254,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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56,1<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

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1995<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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148,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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38,6<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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81,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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58,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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39,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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8,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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58,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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270,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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61,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

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2000<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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146;7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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38,4<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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82,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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59,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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40,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

8,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

58,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

287,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

66,5<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2005<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

143,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

38,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

82,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

61,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

43,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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9,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

60,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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302,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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71,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2010<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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140,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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38,0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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82,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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62,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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45,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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9,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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61,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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317,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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75,7<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

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%1950<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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136,7<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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153,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

120,0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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149,7<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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161,8<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

132,5<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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122,3<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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201,3<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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352,4<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

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2015<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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136,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

37,8<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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81,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

63,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

47,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

9,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

63,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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332,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

80,0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2020<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

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135,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

37,5<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

80,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

64,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

48,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

9,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

65,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

346,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83,9<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2025<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

132,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

37,0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

79,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

65,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

49,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

9,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

66,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

358,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

87,4<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2030<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

128,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

36,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

77,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

66,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

49,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

10,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

68,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

370,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

90,4<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2035<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

125,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

35,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

76,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

67,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

50,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

10,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

69,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

380,0<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

92,9<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2040<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

122,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

34,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

74,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

67,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

50,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

10,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

70,2<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

388,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

94,9<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2045<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

119,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

33,1<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

72,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

67,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

51,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

10,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

71,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

396,8<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

96,4<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

2050<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

116,1<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

32,0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

70,5<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

67,7<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

51,3<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

10,6<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

72,4<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

403,9<\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

97,4<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

% 2010<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

82,7<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

84,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

85,9<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

108,0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

113,1<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

113,8<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

116,9<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

127,2<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

128,6<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/div>\r\n


<\/p>\r\n

Dla roku 2010 wstawi\u0142em procent w relacji do roku 1950 oraz dla roku 2050 procentow\u0105 prognoz\u0119 w relacji do roku 2010. Prognozy s\u0105 tragiczne.<\/p>\r\n

W drugiej po\u0142owie XX wieku byli\u015bmy jednym z najszybciej rozmna\u017caj\u0105cych si\u0119 kraj\u00f3w Europy. Du\u017cy wzrost w USA to g\u0142\u00f3wnie efekt imigracji. Turcja rozwin\u0119\u0142a si\u0119 najszybciej (350%) i to nie imigracj\u0105 (raczej traci\u0142a poprzez emigracj\u0119 do Europy), tylko poprzez wysok\u0105 rozrodczo\u015b\u0107. Wed\u0142ug prognoz na nast\u0119pne 40 lat we wszystkich krajach tempo wzrostu zmaleje, ale s\u0105 kraje, kt\u00f3rym liczebno\u015b\u0107 spadnie i niestety my do nich nale\u017cymy. Francja Anglia, Hiszpania, Szwecja b\u0119d\u0105 mia\u0142y wzrost<\/strong>, ale my, Niemcy i Rosja spadek. USA wzro\u015bnie – pewno znowu imigracj\u0105, ale Turcja nadal w tym zestawieniu ma najwy\u017cszy przyrost i to tylko w wyniku rozrodczo\u015bci.<\/strong> Spora cz\u0119\u015b\u0107 rozrodczo\u015bci w krajach Europy zachodniej to konsekwencja obecno\u015bci tam muzu\u0142ma\u0144skiej imigracji.<\/p>\r\n

Trzeba bi\u0107 na alarm. Ju\u017c Francja i Szwecja, \u015bwiadome swego spadku demograficznego, podj\u0119\u0142y zdecydowane dzia\u0142ania pro-natalistyczne i efekty wida\u0107. I u nas koniecznie trzeba przywr\u00f3ci\u0107 pr\u0119\u017cno\u015b\u0107 demograficzn\u0105. Musimy mie\u0107 wi\u0119cej dzieci by Polska liczy\u0142a si\u0119 w Europie i \u015bwiecie!<\/p>\r\n

Maciej Giertych<\/em><\/strong>
\r\n Opoka w Kraju, kwiecie\u0144 2010<\/p>\r\n


<\/p>\r\n

(Dzi\u0119kujemy prof. Miros\u0142awowi Dakowskiemu<\/a> za wyszukanie tej informacji.)<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Biuro demograficzne ONZ opublikowa\u0142o prognozy dla wszystkich kraj\u00f3w \u015bwiata do roku 2050. Dane oparte s\u0105 o statystyki z roku 2008 (opublikowane w 2009 r.)[link]. Oto dane o ludno\u015bci wybranych kraj\u00f3w, w milionach ludzi, za okres od 1950 do dzisiaj i prognoza do 2050 r. Rok Rosja Polska Niemcy Francja Hiszpania Szwecja U.K USA Turcja 1950 […]","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":"","_wp_rev_ctl_limit":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[94,23,106,98],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19730"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19730"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19730\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibula.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}